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Chris Fox's avatar

The probability for each win is separate from the others.

Suppose you flip a coin and get a thousand successive heads. The possibility of getting another head is 50%, it is not diminished by the thousand that preceded it.

OTOH the probability of getting a thousand heads is about one in 10^301.

Physicists don't talk about that fine-tuning question much anymore. It could be that there have been a vast number of universes before us, or that in the multiverse every possible tuning is represented in another eigencosmos.

These are more interesting questions.

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Ray Andrews's avatar

Yes, interesting questions. Why foreclose on the most obvious answer, namely that the game was rigged? Funny thing -- and it's hard to put this into words -- 'scale' breaks down. If I owe you a thousand bucks I feel the burden of that. If a million, then that's a whole lot worse, but if I owe 30 trillion (like the US does) that's sorta ... nothing. It's too big to 'feel'. Know what I mean? So we won the lottery 30 times in a row -- doesn't feel any different if we won it 50 times in a row, does it? Remedy? Easy! Just postulate an infinite number of universes -- that was simple, wasn't it? IMHO one should not try to solve problems by invoking infinity, I don't think it's sound science. God is better than infinity, God is more comprehensible -- it just turns out that the fundamental thing in the universe is consciousness -- as Max Planck believed. You know Knox's limericks of course.

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Chris Fox's avatar

Not infinite. Vast numbers, yes, not infinite. Infinity is in math only; any infinity in physics means something is wrong.

Don't think about infinity too long, it's unhealthy.

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Ray Andrews's avatar

I agree -- infinity is dangerous. But the singularity is considered infinitesimal, no? And the infinitesimal is just the evil twin of infinity -- just as unreal. Democritus could probably explain why.

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